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Will airport expansion assist in regenerating the regions ?
The economic studies, released alongside the regional air studies for the White Paper, suggest that it will.
But these studies have been
largely discredited - see aviation and the economy briefing.
The most comprehensive study done anywhere in Europe
into the connection between transport provision and economic performance paints a different picture. The
government-sponsored SACTRA Report, 1999, astonishingly virtually ignored by civil servants when drawing up
the Regional Air Studies, suggests that it is only in particular circumstances that new airport infrastructure will
have a significant role in promoting regional regeneration.
The government's Standing Advisory Committee on Trunk Road Assessment (SACTRA) examined the links between transport provision in general and economic
activity (SACTRA, 1999). Although the report concentrated on road building, the authors made it clear that their
findings were applicable to all forms of transport infrastructure.
What the SACTRA Report said
- there is no simple link between the provision of transport infrastructure and regional regeneration
- non-transport factors in a region (such as the availability of skilled labour) are usually a more critical factor
in regenerating a region than transport infrastructure
- there would be winners and losers when new transport infrastructure is built - strong areas may gain improved
access to weaker areas, which in turn may suffer job losses./
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- in a mature economy which already has a well-developed transport system (such as the UK) any increase in
economic growth from improved transport is likely to be modest.
SACTRA is important because it is the only comprehensive study that we have got, because it is one of the most
thorough pieces of work on the subject done anywhere in Europe, and because it was signed up to by organisations
as diverse as Transport 2000 and the CBI. And they didn't sign up to a fudge, but a credible, comprehensive report.
Regions need to decide if :
- an expanded airport is really required to serve their business community - remember only 20% of trips are for
business purposes
- whether an increase in air services will really boost local business. The amount of air travel is surely a function
of the level of business activity, not the other way round
- an expanded airport would simply mean more local people took their holidays abroad, more than off-setting any
increase in the number of holidaymakers flying in
- other less heavily-subsidised industries may bring about regeneration at a much lower cost to the taxpayer than
developing an airport
Links to other pages on economics
economics summary
forecasts
tax avoidance
tourism
equity
jobs
red herrings
Links to related pages
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